1. The difference between fads and serious uptake will depend more than ever on whether we can figure out ways to add real value (better, faster, cheaper) for people and enterprises. Wearable tech, big data, and the internet of things all fall into this category in 2014.
11. Coupled with #4 above, we’ll see a significant rise in the acceptance and use of Integration-as-a-Service (“IaaS”); integration offered as a transparent service a la SnapLogic, Informatica Cloud, and MuleSoft. One interesting angle in the mix, however…enterprise applications vendors will discover that a good API library will be a differentiating factor selling cloud-based applications. SalesForce has this nailed already with their Salesforce1 platform.
13. Watch for Amazon Web Services to lead an outpouring of new offerings from cloud vendors moving up the tech stack as the tech stack itself becomes less relevant: platform-as-a-service (“PaaS”) and higher value services for enterprises. Lots of returns available here in “adding value around the edges” of the enterprise. This is another example of what I call the “gold rush business model”; check the history of any gold rush and you’ll see that it was not the miners who got rich, but the businesses selling supplies and services to the miners - adding value around the edges of the mining operations.
14. Oracle Fusion Applications will build more momentum in 2014, especially in the HCM market.
So, there you have it - 14 predictions for 2014. Thoughts, comments, discussion, critiques are all welcome...at least until New Year's Day ;)